al-Shabab’s media capability

al-Katāayb Media Logo

While skimming through an English language Islamist forum I came across a recent propaganda video released by the Somali al-Shabab militia (who have conducted a number of suicide attacks, including two in Kampala during the football World Cup, and more recently against a hotel in which over 30 people were killed). The video, entitled ‘Mogadishu: The Crusaders Graveyard’ is pretty impressive – it looks and feels like a piece of war reporting, with some very high quality video and an English narration throughout. There is a good analysis of the video provided by Christopher Anzalone here, in which he charts the evolution of al-Shabab’s media capability. Also see here for a translation of al-Shabab’s statement reagarding the release of their new media channel logo.

The English narration is interesting, given the recent remarks by the head of the British Security Service (MI5) Jonathan Evans:

‘In Somalia, for example, there are a significant number of UK residents training in Al Shabaab camps to fight in the insurgency there. Al Shabaab, an Islamist militia in Somalia, is closely aligned with Al Qaida and Somalia shows many of the characteristics that made Afghanistan so dangerous as a seedbed for terrorism in the period before the fall of the Taleban…We need to do whatever we can to stop people from this country becoming involved in terrorism and murder in Somalia, but beyond that I am concerned that it is only a matter of time before we see terrorism on our streets inspired by those who are today fighting alongside Al Shabaab’.

It seems pretty clear that videos like this are designed to appeal to and draw in potential recruits from the Somali diaspora in the West (for example there are large ethnic Somali population in the UK (over 40,000), and in the US  (Minnesota alone has around 20,000 Somali immigrants). According to recent testimony from Michael Leiter, the head of the US National Counter-terrorism Centre:

the Somalia-based training program established by al-Shabaab and now-deceased al- Qa‘ida operative Saleh Nabhan, continues to attract hundreds of violent extremists from across the globe, to include dozens of recruits from the United States. At least 20 US persons—the majority of whom are ethnic Somalis––have traveled to Somalia since 2006 to fight and train with al-Shabaab.(1)

US-born Somalis who returned to train and fight with al-Shabab have been involved in conducting suicide attacks against targets in Somalia itself. One of the five bombers involved in the October 2008 multiple attacks was Shirwa Ahmed, a naturalised US citizen who lived in Minnesota. (The New York Times has a useful resource detailing some of the other US recruits to the Somalian jihadist group). It was also reported that at least one of the attackers who mounted the September 2009 attacks against the African Union peacekeeping force compound in Mogadishu may have spoken with an American accent.

The attacks in Kampala were the first sign of al-Shabab’s intent and capability to mount attacks beyond Somali itself, targeting a country which contributes to the AU peacekeeping force. In January of this year, another US citizen, Omar Hammami (Abu Mansoor Al-Amriki), told The New York Times that:

“It’s quite obvious that I believe America is a target,”

Presumably however, if al-Shabab intends to attack the US or the West more widely, it would probably not be using American or British passport holders to mount suicide attacks in Somalia, or using them to fight as insurgents. Such individuals would clearly be a great asset in efforts to mount operations back in their countries of residence. This is not to say that al-Shabab’s intent will not change, or that these potentially very valuable human resources will not be co-opted by al-Qaida; after all, a number of British residents and citizens travelled to Pakistan in order to fight in Afghanistan, only to be given training and turned around and told to attack their home country. So the US and UK security authorities are probably right in being concerned by the prospect of their citizens and residents returning from Somalia.

References

(1) Michael Leiter, Director of the National Counterterrorism Center. “Nine Years after 9/11: Confronting the Terrorist Threat to the Homeland” Statement for Record Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee ” 22 September 2010

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Intel source for AU compound attack?

al-shahab.jpgThe Long War Journal has an interesting little post relating to the 17 September twin suicide VBIED attack on an African Union peacekeeping for compound. As I noted in this post, this was a well planned and executed attack, timed to strike at a meeting where the AU’s senior officers would be present. The attack killed, among others, the Deputy Commander of the AU force.

According o the LWJ, one of the sources for the intelligence that facilitated the attack may have been Somalia’s own minister of defence, Sheikh Yusuf Mohammad Siad. Citing an anonymous source, the LWJ claims that Siad provided the information in return for $50,000 from the Islamist al-Shahab group which later claimed responsibility for the attack.

The LWJ claims that:

[Siad] was also present at the meeting but left the airport moments before the suicide bombing; later he publicly stated that he ‘knew’about the incoming attack.

If true, this would explain how al-Shahab knew exactly the time to strike the meeting. This was clearly an important operation for the militants – using two stolen UN vehicles to access the compound, sacrificing an English speaking Somali-American as a suicide attacker and paying a relatively large quantity of cash for the information which allowed the whole attack to be coordinated.

All very interesting and a demonstration of a pretty sophisticated suicide attack capability. Looks like I need to do a bit more research on this group.

AU Compound attacker may have been American

al-shahab.jpgFurther to this post, it has been reported that one of the suicide attackers involved in the 17 September double SVBIED attack on an African Union peacekeeping force compound in Mogadishu was an American citizen.

A Somali-language website claims that one of the attackers was Omar Mohamed Mahmoud, a Somali-American who lived in United States until 2007. If true, this would chime with earlier reports that the bombers spoke English to the compound’s guards, who assumed they were UN personnel and allowed their vehicles into the base.

This is not the first time a Somali-American is thought to have perpetrated a suicide attack in Somalia. Last October, Sjirwa Ahmed was one of five attackers who struck in a series of coordinated attacks in Somalia and Puntland.

The sightly odd thing about this is that it seems like a waste of a potentially useful asset in an attack in Somalia. Both these individuals presumably had US passports or at least valid visas/greencards. If al-Qaida is operating in Somalia, one might think they would seize upon US passport holders willing to conduct such attacks and send them back to the US to mount an attack.

al-Shabab strikes AU peacekeeper compound

Two suicide VBIEDS exploded within a secured compound of the African Union’s peacekeeping mission in Mogadishu, Somalia yesterday, killing 16, including the deputy commander of the mission. The attackers (apparently two per vehicle) used two captured UN SUVs. These allowed them to bypass security checks at the gate, suggesting poor access control procedures at the compound. The BBC reports:

“A security official, who wished to remain anonymous, said the soldiers at the gate had assumed the vehicles were on UN business and let them enter the base”.

And Reuters says the Somalia information minister claimed the drivers had spoken

” English and identified themselves as being from the United Nations,”

Once inside the compound, one vehicle detonated by a petrol tank, while the other appears to have targeted a meeting of the mission’s leadership with local Somali officials, suggesting the attack was based on good intelligence.

The Islamist al-Shahab group took responsibility for the attack, claiming it was in retaliation for the killing by US forces of the al-Qaida operative Saleh Ali Saleh Nabhan, who was wanted in connection with previous attacks in East Africa.

This is not the first time the al-Shahab group has shown considerable sophistication in its use of suicide attacks. On 29 October 2008 five near simultaneous suicide VBIED attacks struck the Ethiopian consulate, the presidential palace and a UN office in Hargeysa and two counter-terrorism intelligence offices in Bossaso, in neighbouring Puntland.

The latest attack indicates that al-Shahab retains an effective capability to mount such attacks. This was clearly a well planned and executed attack. Presumably the planners had observed the ease with which UN vehicles could access the compound, suggesting some form of pre-attack surveillance. It was also timed to coincide with a high-level meeting, which the attackers knew both the timing of and location within the compound.